Card Counting Advantage by Depth

What is the advantage at different depths?

Since we see more high counts (as well as low counts) at deeper penetrations and high counts have a higher advantage and we bet more at the high counts than at the low counts, we experience an overall higher advantage at deeper parts of the shoe. This chart is a bit different as it displays the advantage by the round number for 43 rounds in a shoe. We start at a negative expectation and on average expectation grows as we travel more deeply into the shoe. It should be noted that a balanced strategy like Hi-Lo performs quite differently than an unbalanced strategy like KO. The red Hi-Lo advantage grows in nearly a straight line. The green KO line does not grow at all for the first several hands and does not enjoy an advantage until later in the shoe. It then grows quickly and has a greater advantage than Hi-Lo in KO's sweet spot. Unbalanced strategies have sweet spots where they perform the best.

Sim details

  • Six decks, S17, DAS, LS, 4.81/6, Hi-Lo Illustrious 18 and Fab 4, trunc, half-deck
  • Six decks, S17, DAS, LS, 4.81/6, KO-P
  • Ten billion rounds each


copyright © 2007, Norm Wattenberger, All rights reserved